Fibonacci time projection is a combination of Fibonacci extension and fibonacci time ratio. While being plotted much like the Fibonacci extensions, they feature vertical lines like Fibonacci time ratios do.
Fibonacci time projection days are the days on which a price event is supposed to occur. Time projection analysis is not lagging but is of forecasting value. Trades can be entered or exited at the price change rather than after the fact. The concept is dynamic.
The distance between two turning points is seldom the same, and time projection days vary, depending on larger or smaller swing sizes of the market price pattern.
The base for drawing this shape is 2 critical points: two highs, two lows, or a low and a high. Fibonacci levels are projected into the future based on those points and at this time it is impossible to say whether those levels mark peaks or valleys.
If the price is declining or rising approaching a given Time Projection level, it is likely this level will mark an end or a pause of a particular trend. It is always recommended to combine Time Projection with other Fibonacci tools for more dependable signals.
Fibonacci time projection is one of the four most popular Fibonacci studies for technical analysis, involving the use of Fibonacci time zones. Fibonacci time zones are generated by dividing a chart into a number of time areas, based on the Fibonacci sequence.
As an example, if the base increment is taken to be an interval of one day, Fibonacci time zones would occur around 1.618 days after that day, then 2.618 days after that, then 4.236 and so on. Each interval is multiplied by the golden ratio, 1.618, in order to generate the next interval.
These Fibonacci time zones are used to predict large price events, whether reversals of a current price trend or sharp changes in price along with the trend.
Fibonacci time projection is accurate to a point, but in a few cases large price events occur significantly before or after the time predicted by the Fibonacci time projection.
Although this only describes 30% of cases, it should only be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, and as a guideline for trading rather than a sure-fire method of divining the future.
Vincent Nyagaka is a Professional Trader, Analyst & Author. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 7 years. He has a monthly readership of 100,000+ traders and has taught over 1,000 students since 2014. Vincent is also an experienced instructor and public speaker. Check out Vincent’s Professional Trading Course here.